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Oil analyst: Why Crude Could Double In 2016

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The price of U.S. crude, which bottomed on Feb. 11, should hit $85 per barrel by the end of 2016, oil analyst Mike Rothman said Monday, a projection that’s nearly double what some on Wall Street have been forecasting.

“You have two things going on here this year: One is demand growth and the other is contraction of non-OPEC supply, the first time in about eight years,” the founder and president of energy research firm Cornerstone Analytics told CNBC’s “Squawk Box.”

Rothman’s thesis is based on a law of economics which holds that increased demand at a time of shrinking supply could boost prices.

Prior to starting Cornerstone, Rothman was senior managing director and head of ISI’s integrated oil research. He also had served as chief energy strategist at Merrill Lynch.

West Texas Intermediate crude surged nearly 8 percent last week, while stocks suffered their worst week since February.

The next leg for the stock market “hangs on earnings,” Nuveen Asset Management’s Bob Doll said Monday, as investors prepare for the latest crush of quarterly results, starting this week.

The rising dollar and falling oil weighed on profits for the past nine months, Doll said on “Squawk Box” in a separate interview. With the dollar recently declining and crude increasing, however, Wall Street could start to see positive earnings revisions, he added.

Doll was not willing to speculate about whether improving earnings would be enough to break stocks out of their funk.


 

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